The most accurate way to get a sense for "trends worldwide." By comparing within jurisdictions, cross-country comparisons are ignored.
Scratch page. Not linked from anywhere, not indexed, not vetted, not tested. Built to look at the idea before it goes under the map on the landing page. Strata here are sex only — five-year age bands are still to come.
method
age
Sex
Era
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
104
121
126
129
134
by deaths
100
108
125
133
138
141
by children
100
104
121
129
135
139
median country
100
101
116
117
114
124
IQR across countries
100–100
78–144
85–169
80–154
90–185
89–189
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
99
109
110
103
102
by deaths
100
103
117
119
113
109
by children
100
99
111
117
113
111
median country
100
94
100
97
85
89
IQR across countries
100–100
73–116
80–128
63–123
64–116
57–124
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 137 (95% 120–155); Boys 97 (95% 71–115). In 2023: Girls 134 (deaths 141, children 139, median 124); Boys 102 (deaths 109, children 111, median 89). Overdispersion 2.12, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.46×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Both
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
101
113
116
112
112
by deaths
100
105
119
123
121
119
by children
100
101
116
122
123
124
median country
100
96
104
104
94
95
IQR across countries
100–100
74–113
76–134
73–130
69–121
73–141
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 107 (95% 78–130). In 2023: Both 112 (deaths 119, children 124, median 95). Overdispersion 2.08, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.44×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
104
121
126
129
134
by deaths
100
108
125
133
138
141
by children
100
104
121
129
135
139
median country
100
101
116
117
114
124
IQR across countries
100–100
78–144
85–169
80–154
90–185
89–189
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 137 (95% 120–155). In 2023: Girls 134 (deaths 141, children 139, median 124). Overdispersion 1.91, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.38×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
99
109
110
103
102
by deaths
100
103
117
119
113
109
by children
100
99
111
117
113
111
median country
100
94
100
97
85
89
IQR across countries
100–100
73–116
80–128
63–123
64–116
57–124
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 97 (95% 71–115). In 2023: Boys 102 (deaths 109, children 111, median 89). Overdispersion 2.12, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.46×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
101
103
98
104
99
105
100
105
121
127
129
135
by deaths
97
99
96
104
96
101
100
109
126
133
138
141
by children
106
106
101
101
102
125
116
120
140
149
157
160
median country
102
104
98
107
98
92
87
88
101
102
100
108
IQR across countries
85–124
82–132
74–130
76–150
61–140
59–139
52–144
68–126
75–147
70–135
79–162
78–165
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
99
97
92
89
88
100
94
93
102
104
96
96
by deaths
97
94
89
89
85
91
85
88
100
101
96
93
by children
99
97
97
91
92
129
104
103
116
122
118
115
median country
100
99
91
87
87
85
93
88
93
90
79
83
IQR across countries
80–114
80–124
65–123
68–115
57–122
65–139
63–128
68–108
75–119
59–115
59–108
54–115
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 137 (95% 120–156); Boys 91 (95% 67–108). In 2023: Girls 135 (deaths 141, children 160, median 108); Boys 96 (deaths 93, children 115, median 83). Overdispersion 2.12, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.46×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Both
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
98
94
94
90
103
98
99
111
114
110
110
by deaths
97
95
91
93
88
94
89
94
107
110
108
106
by children
102
101
99
96
97
127
109
111
127
134
135
136
median country
101
98
91
91
87
91
97
93
100
100
91
92
IQR across countries
84–116
79–118
73–121
72–118
67–119
67–136
60–130
71–110
74–129
71–125
67–117
70–136
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 105 (95% 77–128). In 2023: Both 110 (deaths 106, children 136, median 92). Overdispersion 2.08, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.44×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
101
103
98
104
99
105
100
105
121
127
129
135
by deaths
97
99
96
104
96
101
100
109
126
133
138
141
by children
106
106
101
101
102
125
116
120
140
149
157
160
median country
102
104
98
107
98
92
87
88
101
102
100
108
IQR across countries
85–124
82–132
74–130
76–150
61–140
59–139
52–144
68–126
75–147
70–135
79–162
78–165
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 137 (95% 120–156). In 2023: Girls 135 (deaths 141, children 160, median 108). Overdispersion 1.91, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.38×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
99
97
92
89
88
100
94
93
102
104
96
96
by deaths
97
94
89
89
85
91
85
88
100
101
96
93
by children
99
97
97
91
92
129
104
103
116
122
118
115
median country
100
99
91
87
87
85
93
88
93
90
79
83
IQR across countries
80–114
80–124
65–123
68–115
57–122
65–139
63–128
68–108
75–119
59–115
59–108
54–115
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 91 (95% 67–108). In 2023: Boys 96 (deaths 93, children 115, median 83). Overdispersion 2.12, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.46×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
93
100
96
91
92
100
97
92
87
88
84
89
84
90
86
89
104
108
110
115
by deaths
93
99
95
87
85
99
93
79
72
73
71
77
71
75
74
80
93
99
102
104
by children
98
102
101
93
92
106
97
90
86
86
82
82
83
101
94
97
113
120
127
130
median country
87
100
91
93
99
96
100
110
106
108
102
111
102
95
91
92
105
106
104
112
IQR across countries
73–119
80–118
66–143
66–125
65–143
64–190
78–158
77–140
89–129
85–137
77–135
79–156
64–146
61–145
54–150
70–131
78–153
73–140
82–168
81–172
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
103
109
109
104
111
112
111
103
92
90
86
83
82
93
87
86
95
96
90
89
by deaths
103
109
109
107
109
109
109
96
90
86
82
82
78
84
79
81
92
93
89
86
by children
103
109
109
106
108
112
111
99
93
92
92
86
87
122
98
97
109
115
111
109
median country
102
109
108
99
116
114
114
114
93
92
84
81
81
79
87
81
86
84
73
77
IQR across countries
88–114
93–149
85–141
73–129
94–140
87–153
87–159
75–133
74–106
74–114
61–114
63–106
53–113
61–129
58–119
63–100
70–111
55–106
55–100
50–107
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 117 (95% 103–133); Boys 85 (95% 62–101). In 2023: Girls 115 (deaths 104, children 130, median 112); Boys 89 (deaths 86, children 109, median 77). Overdispersion 2.12, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.46×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Both
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
107
106
98
105
107
110
96
90
89
85
84
82
93
89
89
100
103
99
99
by deaths
100
106
105
101
102
106
104
91
85
83
79
81
77
82
78
82
93
96
94
93
by children
101
105
105
99
100
109
104
94
89
89
87
84
85
112
96
97
111
117
118
119
median country
98
109
108
95
112
107
121
103
97
94
88
88
83
87
93
89
96
96
87
88
IQR across countries
83–114
88–135
88–134
76–121
94–149
84–150
90–156
82–131
80–112
76–114
70–116
69–114
65–115
64–130
58–125
68–105
71–124
68–120
64–112
68–131
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 95 (95% 69–116). In 2023: Both 99 (deaths 93, children 119, median 88). Overdispersion 2.08, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.44×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
93
100
96
91
92
100
97
92
87
88
84
89
84
90
86
89
104
108
110
115
by deaths
93
99
95
87
85
99
93
79
72
73
71
77
71
75
74
80
93
99
102
104
by children
98
102
101
93
92
106
97
90
86
86
82
82
83
101
94
97
113
120
127
130
median country
87
100
91
93
99
96
100
110
106
108
102
111
102
95
91
92
105
106
104
112
IQR across countries
73–119
80–118
66–143
66–125
65–143
64–190
78–158
77–140
89–129
85–137
77–135
79–156
64–146
61–145
54–150
70–131
78–153
73–140
82–168
81–172
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 117 (95% 103–133). In 2023: Girls 115 (deaths 104, children 130, median 112). Overdispersion 1.99, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.41×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
103
109
109
104
111
112
111
103
92
90
86
83
82
93
87
86
95
96
90
89
by deaths
103
109
109
107
109
109
109
96
90
86
82
82
78
84
79
81
92
93
89
86
by children
103
109
109
106
108
112
111
99
93
92
92
86
87
122
98
97
109
115
111
109
median country
102
109
108
99
116
114
114
114
93
92
84
81
81
79
87
81
86
84
73
77
IQR across countries
88–114
93–149
85–141
73–129
94–140
87–153
87–159
75–133
74–106
74–114
61–114
63–106
53–113
61–129
58–119
63–100
70–111
55–106
55–100
50–107
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 85 (95% 62–101). In 2023: Boys 89 (deaths 86, children 109, median 77). Overdispersion 2.12, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.46×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
106
119
132
127
126
by deaths
100
108
128
136
140
139
by children
100
112
132
139
141
142
median country
100
98
101
123
105
101
IQR across countries
100–100
47–112
62–180
58–194
46–185
49–234
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
94
112
113
95
98
by deaths
100
96
122
123
105
98
by children
100
93
116
119
106
105
median country
100
91
98
98
77
92
IQR across countries
100–100
56–139
47–158
42–154
49–126
43–149
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 154 (95% 117–187); Boys 93 (95% 67–122). In 2023: Girls 126 (deaths 139, children 142, median 101); Boys 98 (deaths 98, children 105, median 92). Overdispersion 1.65, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.29×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Both
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
98
115
121
113
113
by deaths
100
101
124
128
119
115
by children
100
102
123
128
121
122
median country
100
92
99
108
101
102
IQR across countries
100–100
61–124
61–162
48–160
51–177
52–164
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 114 (95% 79–142). In 2023: Both 113 (deaths 115, children 122, median 102). Overdispersion 1.67, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.29×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
106
119
132
127
126
by deaths
100
108
128
136
140
139
by children
100
112
132
139
141
142
median country
100
98
101
123
105
101
IQR across countries
100–100
47–112
62–180
58–194
46–185
49–234
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 154 (95% 117–187). In 2023: Girls 126 (deaths 139, children 142, median 101). Overdispersion 1.65, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.29×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
94
112
113
95
98
by deaths
100
96
122
123
105
98
by children
100
93
116
119
106
105
median country
100
91
98
98
77
92
IQR across countries
100–100
56–139
47–158
42–154
49–126
43–149
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 93 (95% 67–122). In 2023: Boys 98 (deaths 98, children 105, median 92). Overdispersion 1.59, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.26×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
114
102
104
107
102
111
128
135
153
170
163
162
by deaths
105
103
103
110
106
109
132
143
168
179
185
184
by children
142
105
111
110
106
129
144
162
191
201
203
205
median country
100
98
99
102
95
98
110
107
111
135
116
112
IQR across countries
58–156
61–134
57–126
44–136
50–134
62–150
51–208
51–123
68–198
64–214
51–204
54–258
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
101
99
96
85
93
112
98
92
110
111
94
97
by deaths
101
97
94
86
87
98
98
94
120
120
103
96
by children
104
100
105
84
99
139
118
109
137
140
124
124
median country
100
100
90
85
94
103
83
76
81
81
64
76
IQR across countries
50–135
52–145
47–130
38–148
36–131
55–167
47–168
46–115
39–131
34–128
40–104
35–124
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 197 (95% 150–240); Boys 91 (95% 66–120). In 2023: Girls 162 (deaths 184, children 205, median 112); Boys 97 (deaths 96, children 124, median 76). Overdispersion 1.65, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.29×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Both
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
108
100
98
95
96
109
113
110
129
136
128
127
by deaths
102
99
97
94
93
102
109
111
136
140
131
125
by children
121
102
108
96
102
134
130
132
160
167
158
158
median country
102
97
89
94
94
94
100
92
99
108
101
103
IQR across countries
65–139
67–133
54–128
54–130
42–133
61–156
53–146
61–125
62–162
48–161
51–177
52–164
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 128 (95% 89–160). In 2023: Both 127 (deaths 125, children 158, median 103). Overdispersion 1.67, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.29×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
114
102
104
107
102
111
128
135
153
170
163
162
by deaths
105
103
103
110
106
109
132
143
168
179
185
184
by children
142
105
111
110
106
129
144
162
191
201
203
205
median country
100
98
99
102
95
98
110
107
111
135
116
112
IQR across countries
58–156
61–134
57–126
44–136
50–134
62–150
51–208
51–123
68–198
64–214
51–204
54–258
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 197 (95% 150–240). In 2023: Girls 162 (deaths 184, children 205, median 112). Overdispersion 1.65, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.29×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
101
99
96
85
93
112
98
92
110
111
94
97
by deaths
101
97
94
86
87
98
98
94
120
120
103
96
by children
104
100
105
84
99
139
118
109
137
140
124
124
median country
100
100
90
85
94
103
83
76
81
81
64
76
IQR across countries
50–135
52–145
47–130
38–148
36–131
55–167
47–168
46–115
39–131
34–128
40–104
35–124
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 91 (95% 66–120). In 2023: Boys 97 (deaths 96, children 124, median 76). Overdispersion 1.59, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.26×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
78
94
94
62
105
106
116
65
97
87
89
91
87
95
109
116
130
145
139
138
by deaths
79
91
95
82
98
106
115
66
91
90
90
96
93
95
115
124
147
156
161
160
by children
87
93
96
76
110
103
134
68
144
107
113
111
107
131
147
164
193
204
206
208
median country
69
97
91
38
108
108
102
62
70
69
69
72
67
69
77
76
78
95
82
79
IQR across countries
52–102
68–111
0–109
5–114
59–246
60–221
48–167
0–124
41–110
43–94
40–89
31–96
35–95
44–106
36–147
36–87
48–139
45–150
36–143
38–181
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
114
111
115
102
113
98
115
95
89
87
85
75
82
99
87
81
97
98
82
85
by deaths
116
107
111
106
106
103
112
101
91
88
85
78
79
89
89
85
108
109
93
87
by children
121
115
121
102
116
98
114
97
99
95
100
80
95
132
112
104
130
134
118
118
median country
106
110
115
97
118
94
120
88
79
79
71
67
74
82
65
60
64
64
50
60
IQR across countries
88–157
74–171
71–154
56–159
72–179
65–176
71–199
42–138
40–107
41–114
37–102
30–117
28–103
44–132
37–133
36–91
31–103
27–101
32–82
28–98
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 169 (95% 128–204); Boys 80 (95% 58–106). In 2023: Girls 138 (deaths 160, children 208, median 79); Boys 85 (deaths 87, children 118, median 60). Overdispersion 1.70, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.31×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Both
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
102
104
105
96
109
110
119
90
99
91
89
86
88
99
103
101
118
124
116
116
by deaths
104
102
106
99
103
103
113
90
91
88
87
84
83
91
98
99
122
125
117
112
by children
103
104
108
89
113
101
125
82
120
101
107
95
101
132
128
130
158
164
155
156
median country
98
107
101
103
111
127
121
99
88
84
77
81
81
81
87
80
86
93
87
89
IQR across countries
76–134
71–159
63–137
65–137
68–172
65–191
81–190
41–128
56–121
58–115
47–110
46–112
36–115
53–135
46–126
53–108
53–141
42–139
44–153
45–142
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 117 (95% 81–146). In 2023: Both 116 (deaths 112, children 156, median 89). Overdispersion 1.67, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.29×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
78
94
94
62
105
106
116
65
97
87
89
91
87
95
109
116
130
145
139
138
by deaths
79
91
95
82
98
106
115
66
91
90
90
96
93
95
115
124
147
156
161
160
by children
87
93
96
76
110
103
134
68
144
107
113
111
107
131
147
164
193
204
206
208
median country
69
97
91
38
108
108
102
62
70
69
69
72
67
69
77
76
78
95
82
79
IQR across countries
52–102
68–111
0–109
5–114
59–246
60–221
48–167
0–124
41–110
43–94
40–89
31–96
35–95
44–106
36–147
36–87
48–139
45–150
36–143
38–181
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 169 (95% 128–204). In 2023: Girls 138 (deaths 160, children 208, median 79). Overdispersion 1.70, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.31×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
114
111
115
102
113
98
115
95
89
87
85
75
82
99
87
81
97
98
82
85
by deaths
116
107
111
106
106
103
112
101
91
88
85
78
79
89
89
85
108
109
93
87
by children
121
115
121
102
116
98
114
97
99
95
100
80
95
132
112
104
130
134
118
118
median country
106
110
115
97
118
94
120
88
79
79
71
67
74
82
65
60
64
64
50
60
IQR across countries
88–157
74–171
71–154
56–159
72–179
65–176
71–199
42–138
40–107
41–114
37–102
30–117
28–103
44–132
37–133
36–91
31–103
27–101
32–82
28–98
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 80 (95% 58–106). In 2023: Boys 85 (deaths 87, children 118, median 60). Overdispersion 1.59, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.26×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
105
118
123
131
137
by deaths
100
108
125
132
138
141
by children
100
102
119
127
136
140
median country
100
103
112
111
120
131
IQR across countries
100–100
68–135
84–153
79–163
90–175
92–209
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
100
109
111
107
102
by deaths
100
104
116
118
114
111
by children
100
100
111
117
115
113
median country
100
95
101
98
93
85
IQR across countries
100–100
67–117
77–130
67–126
64–119
60–124
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 132 (95% 117–152); Boys 99 (95% 68–116). In 2023: Girls 137 (deaths 141, children 140, median 131); Boys 102 (deaths 111, children 113, median 85). Overdispersion 2.78, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.67×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Both
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
101
114
114
113
113
by deaths
100
106
118
122
121
120
by children
100
101
115
122
125
126
median country
100
96
110
100
95
96
IQR across countries
100–100
74–113
81–133
70–133
69–134
71–154
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 107 (95% 79–130). In 2023: Both 113 (deaths 120, children 126, median 96). Overdispersion 2.59, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.61×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
105
118
123
131
137
by deaths
100
108
125
132
138
141
by children
100
102
119
127
136
140
median country
100
103
112
111
120
131
IQR across countries
100–100
68–135
84–153
79–163
90–175
92–209
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 132 (95% 117–152). In 2023: Girls 137 (deaths 141, children 140, median 131). Overdispersion 2.23, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.49×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
100
109
111
107
102
by deaths
100
104
116
118
114
111
by children
100
100
111
117
115
113
median country
100
95
101
98
93
85
IQR across countries
100–100
67–117
77–130
67–126
64–119
60–124
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 99 (95% 68–116). In 2023: Boys 102 (deaths 111, children 113, median 85). Overdispersion 2.78, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.67×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
99
100
96
101
95
105
94
98
111
115
123
128
by deaths
95
98
94
103
94
100
93
101
116
123
128
132
by children
100
105
98
100
100
124
110
112
131
140
150
154
median country
102
98
95
101
92
94
80
83
90
89
96
104
IQR across countries
80–120
80–125
74–121
84–145
63–135
55–137
48–129
54–108
67–122
63–130
72–140
74–167
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
97
96
92
89
86
98
93
93
102
103
100
95
by deaths
97
93
88
89
85
90
83
87
97
99
95
93
by children
98
97
95
92
89
125
101
101
112
118
116
114
median country
98
99
92
86
83
84
96
91
97
94
89
82
IQR across countries
81–111
81–115
70–114
69–117
61–120
64–132
60–129
65–112
74–125
65–121
61–115
58–119
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 124 (95% 110–142); Boys 92 (95% 64–108). In 2023: Girls 128 (deaths 132, children 154, median 104); Boys 95 (deaths 93, children 114, median 82). Overdispersion 2.86, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.69×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Both
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
97
97
92
94
89
100
96
97
110
110
108
108
by deaths
96
95
90
93
87
92
86
91
102
105
104
103
by children
99
101
97
96
95
124
105
106
121
128
132
132
median country
96
96
89
92
87
87
97
94
107
97
92
94
IQR across countries
85–110
82–114
69–111
73–121
66–111
62–129
55–129
72–110
79–129
68–130
67–131
70–150
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 102 (95% 76–125). In 2023: Both 108 (deaths 103, children 132, median 94). Overdispersion 2.59, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.61×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
99
100
96
101
95
105
94
98
111
115
123
128
by deaths
95
98
94
103
94
100
93
101
116
123
128
132
by children
100
105
98
100
100
124
110
112
131
140
150
154
median country
102
98
95
101
92
94
80
83
90
89
96
104
IQR across countries
80–120
80–125
74–121
84–145
63–135
55–137
48–129
54–108
67–122
63–130
72–140
74–167
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 124 (95% 110–142). In 2023: Girls 128 (deaths 132, children 154, median 104). Overdispersion 2.23, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.49×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
97
96
92
89
86
98
93
93
102
103
100
95
by deaths
97
93
88
89
85
90
83
87
97
99
95
93
by children
98
97
95
92
89
125
101
101
112
118
116
114
median country
98
99
92
86
83
84
96
91
97
94
89
82
IQR across countries
81–111
81–115
70–114
69–117
61–120
64–132
60–129
65–112
74–125
65–121
61–115
58–119
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 92 (95% 64–108). In 2023: Boys 95 (deaths 93, children 114, median 82). Overdispersion 2.86, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.69×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
96
101
99
94
88
99
95
96
82
83
79
84
79
87
78
81
92
96
102
107
by deaths
95
100
95
88
82
97
90
81
68
70
68
74
67
71
67
73
83
88
92
95
by children
101
104
102
95
90
106
95
93
79
82
77
79
79
97
87
89
103
111
119
122
median country
91
100
101
100
92
96
99
117
102
98
96
101
93
94
80
83
90
89
97
105
IQR across countries
73–129
78–135
71–143
69–117
57–135
59–177
73–165
77–144
81–121
80–125
74–121
84–146
64–135
56–137
49–130
55–108
67–123
63–131
72–141
74–168
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
98
109
107
104
111
114
110
97
91
90
85
83
80
91
87
87
95
96
93
89
by deaths
101
110
109
107
109
110
108
95
89
86
82
82
78
83
77
80
89
91
88
86
by children
100
108
107
105
108
113
110
98
92
91
89
87
84
117
94
95
105
111
109
107
median country
94
109
107
100
115
117
112
99
91
92
86
80
78
78
90
86
91
88
83
76
IQR across countries
84–109
91–148
85–124
70–135
88–158
87–151
88–154
76–136
76–104
76–108
65–107
64–109
57–112
60–123
56–121
61–105
69–117
61–113
57–107
54–111
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 103 (95% 91–118); Boys 86 (95% 59–101). In 2023: Girls 107 (deaths 95, children 122, median 105); Boys 89 (deaths 86, children 107, median 76). Overdispersion 2.86, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.69×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Both
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
107
104
101
103
106
108
96
87
87
83
84
80
90
86
87
99
99
97
98
by deaths
99
107
105
102
102
107
103
91
84
82
78
81
76
80
75
79
88
91
91
90
by children
101
106
104
100
99
109
103
95
85
87
83
83
82
107
91
92
104
111
114
114
median country
100
109
102
100
110
103
119
101
93
94
87
90
84
85
95
91
104
95
90
91
IQR across countries
82–110
85–149
89–131
72–123
90–148
85–146
91–147
82–140
83–107
80–111
67–108
71–118
64–109
61–126
54–126
70–108
77–126
67–126
66–128
68–146
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 92 (95% 68–113). In 2023: Both 98 (deaths 90, children 114, median 91). Overdispersion 2.59, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.61×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
96
101
99
94
88
99
95
96
82
83
79
84
79
87
78
81
92
96
102
107
by deaths
95
100
95
88
82
97
90
81
68
70
68
74
67
71
67
73
83
88
92
95
by children
101
104
102
95
90
106
95
93
79
82
77
79
79
97
87
89
103
111
119
122
median country
91
100
101
100
92
96
99
117
102
98
96
101
93
94
80
83
90
89
97
105
IQR across countries
73–129
78–135
71–143
69–117
57–135
59–177
73–165
77–144
81–121
80–125
74–121
84–146
64–135
56–137
49–130
55–108
67–123
63–131
72–141
74–168
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 103 (95% 91–118). In 2023: Girls 107 (deaths 95, children 122, median 105). Overdispersion 2.32, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.52×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
98
109
107
104
111
114
110
97
91
90
85
83
80
91
87
87
95
96
93
89
by deaths
101
110
109
107
109
110
108
95
89
86
82
82
78
83
77
80
89
91
88
86
by children
100
108
107
105
108
113
110
98
92
91
89
87
84
117
94
95
105
111
109
107
median country
94
109
107
100
115
117
112
99
91
92
86
80
78
78
90
86
91
88
83
76
IQR across countries
84–109
91–148
85–124
70–135
88–158
87–151
88–154
76–136
76–104
76–108
65–107
64–109
57–112
60–123
56–121
61–105
69–117
61–113
57–107
54–111
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 86 (95% 59–101). In 2023: Boys 89 (deaths 86, children 107, median 76). Overdispersion 2.86, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.69×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
105
118
125
134
135
by deaths
100
107
123
132
139
140
by children
100
103
119
129
138
137
median country
100
106
112
114
124
127
IQR across countries
100–100
77–140
81–149
79–147
67–165
86–169
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
97
106
109
104
105
by deaths
100
101
111
114
113
111
by children
100
97
109
115
113
113
median country
100
93
100
100
89
93
IQR across countries
100–100
76–108
80–121
74–124
69–119
64–128
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 135 (95% 116–150); Boys 101 (95% 84–114). In 2023: Girls 135 (deaths 140, children 137, median 127); Boys 105 (deaths 111, children 113, median 93). Overdispersion 2.54, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.59×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Both
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
99
109
113
112
112
by deaths
100
102
114
119
119
118
by children
100
99
113
121
125
124
median country
100
95
100
101
94
96
IQR across countries
100–100
82–111
81–127
76–125
74–122
74–129
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 109 (95% 84–129). In 2023: Both 112 (deaths 118, children 124, median 96). Overdispersion 2.28, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.51×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
105
118
125
134
135
by deaths
100
107
123
132
139
140
by children
100
103
119
129
138
137
median country
100
106
112
114
124
127
IQR across countries
100–100
77–140
81–149
79–147
67–165
86–169
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 135 (95% 116–150). In 2023: Girls 135 (deaths 140, children 137, median 127). Overdispersion 1.90, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.38×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
97
106
109
104
105
by deaths
100
101
111
114
113
111
by children
100
97
109
115
113
113
median country
100
93
100
100
89
93
IQR across countries
100–100
76–108
80–121
74–124
69–119
64–128
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 101 (95% 84–114). In 2023: Boys 105 (deaths 111, children 113, median 93). Overdispersion 2.54, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.59×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
103
102
98
103
98
103
98
103
115
123
131
132
by deaths
99
101
97
105
100
100
96
103
118
127
134
135
by children
105
103
98
104
103
118
107
110
127
139
148
147
median country
105
103
98
99
91
92
91
97
103
104
114
116
IQR across countries
87–123
77–124
75–127
79–130
60–122
62–139
50–144
70–128
74–136
72–135
61–151
78–154
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
97
93
90
86
84
94
87
84
93
95
91
92
by deaths
97
93
87
87
84
85
82
82
90
93
92
90
by children
95
94
91
89
88
113
100
97
109
115
114
113
median country
98
93
92
83
81
85
81
76
81
81
73
76
IQR across countries
83–106
79–109
73–106
67–107
61–110
63–121
62–116
62–87
65–98
60–101
56–97
52–104
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 132 (95% 114–147); Boys 88 (95% 73–99). In 2023: Girls 132 (deaths 135, children 147, median 116); Boys 92 (deaths 90, children 113, median 76). Overdispersion 2.83, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.68×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Both
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
99
95
91
90
88
95
90
89
98
102
101
101
by deaths
97
95
89
91
87
88
85
87
96
100
101
100
by children
100
98
94
96
95
115
104
103
118
126
129
128
median country
98
92
91
83
83
84
84
80
84
85
79
81
IQR across countries
86–107
80–105
73–108
69–105
66–108
64–125
63–118
69–94
68–107
64–106
63–102
63–108
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 98 (95% 76–117). In 2023: Both 101 (deaths 100, children 128, median 81). Overdispersion 2.43, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.56×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
103
102
98
103
98
103
98
103
115
123
131
132
by deaths
99
101
97
105
100
100
96
103
118
127
134
135
by children
105
103
98
104
103
118
107
110
127
139
148
147
median country
105
103
98
99
91
92
91
97
103
104
114
116
IQR across countries
87–123
77–124
75–127
79–130
60–122
62–139
50–144
70–128
74–136
72–135
61–151
78–154
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 132 (95% 114–147). In 2023: Girls 132 (deaths 135, children 147, median 116). Overdispersion 1.92, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.39×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
97
93
90
86
84
94
87
84
93
95
91
92
by deaths
97
93
87
87
84
85
82
82
90
93
92
90
by children
95
94
91
89
88
113
100
97
109
115
114
113
median country
98
93
92
83
81
85
81
76
81
81
73
76
IQR across countries
83–106
79–109
73–106
67–107
61–110
63–121
62–116
62–87
65–98
60–101
56–97
52–104
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 88 (95% 73–99). In 2023: Boys 92 (deaths 90, children 113, median 76). Overdispersion 2.83, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.68×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
97
91
91
90
84
95
93
80
83
82
78
82
79
83
79
83
93
98
105
106
by deaths
93
91
91
85
77
91
91
76
71
73
70
76
72
72
69
74
85
91
96
97
by children
98
92
96
88
83
96
92
83
79
78
74
78
78
89
81
83
96
105
112
111
median country
101
91
85
96
91
98
98
80
100
97
93
94
87
88
87
92
97
99
108
110
IQR across countries
76–125
75–130
70–123
72–118
58–124
57–134
66–135
59–110
83–116
73–117
71–120
75–123
57–115
59–132
47–137
67–121
70–130
69–128
58–143
74–147
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
98
101
103
101
103
107
114
99
90
87
84
80
79
87
81
79
87
89
85
85
by deaths
99
100
102
102
102
110
116
105
95
91
85
85
82
83
80
80
88
91
90
88
by children
99
100
102
101
102
111
116
105
93
91
89
87
86
110
98
95
107
113
111
111
median country
97
103
106
101
106
100
110
90
83
79
78
70
69
72
69
64
69
69
61
64
IQR across countries
89–111
87–127
85–136
79–134
86–141
77–153
76–142
73–133
70–89
67–92
62–89
57–91
52–93
53–102
52–98
52–74
55–83
51–85
47–82
44–88
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 106 (95% 92–118); Boys 82 (95% 68–93). In 2023: Girls 106 (deaths 97, children 111, median 110); Boys 85 (deaths 88, children 111, median 64). Overdispersion 2.83, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.68×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Both
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
98
99
100
96
94
104
109
93
87
84
81
79
78
84
80
79
87
91
89
90
by deaths
97
98
99
97
95
105
109
97
88
86
81
82
79
80
77
78
87
91
91
90
by children
98
96
99
94
92
103
104
93
86
85
81
83
82
99
89
89
101
108
111
111
median country
100
104
103
97
94
103
114
91
87
81
81
74
74
75
75
71
75
75
70
72
IQR across countries
88–107
84–117
88–127
77–131
83–140
77–144
75–137
76–127
76–95
71–93
65–96
62–93
59–96
57–111
56–105
61–83
60–95
56–94
56–91
56–96
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 87 (95% 67–103). In 2023: Both 90 (deaths 90, children 111, median 72). Overdispersion 2.43, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.56×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
97
91
91
90
84
95
93
80
83
82
78
82
79
83
79
83
93
98
105
106
by deaths
93
91
91
85
77
91
91
76
71
73
70
76
72
72
69
74
85
91
96
97
by children
98
92
96
88
83
96
92
83
79
78
74
78
78
89
81
83
96
105
112
111
median country
101
91
85
96
91
98
98
80
100
97
93
94
87
88
87
92
97
99
108
110
IQR across countries
76–125
75–130
70–123
72–118
58–124
57–134
66–135
59–110
83–116
73–117
71–120
75–123
57–115
59–132
47–137
67–121
70–130
69–128
58–143
74–147
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 106 (95% 92–118). In 2023: Girls 106 (deaths 97, children 111, median 110). Overdispersion 1.98, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.41×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
98
101
103
101
103
107
114
99
90
87
84
80
79
87
81
79
87
89
85
85
by deaths
99
100
102
102
102
110
116
105
95
91
85
85
82
83
80
80
88
91
90
88
by children
99
100
102
101
102
111
116
105
93
91
89
87
86
110
98
95
107
113
111
111
median country
97
103
106
101
106
100
110
90
83
79
78
70
69
72
69
64
69
69
61
64
IQR across countries
89–111
87–127
85–136
79–134
86–141
77–153
76–142
73–133
70–89
67–92
62–89
57–91
52–93
53–102
52–98
52–74
55–83
51–85
47–82
44–88
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 82 (95% 68–93). In 2023: Boys 85 (deaths 88, children 111, median 64). Overdispersion 2.83, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.68×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
103
115
126
135
133
by deaths
100
106
120
131
139
139
by children
100
102
116
131
141
140
median country
100
101
110
116
125
121
IQR across countries
100–100
65–124
68–142
74–138
69–163
56–158
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
96
105
107
105
106
by deaths
100
99
107
111
112
112
by children
100
95
107
113
114
113
median country
100
94
102
98
91
94
IQR across countries
100–100
76–109
72–119
71–119
65–118
70–121
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 138 (95% 99–170); Boys 102 (95% 89–114). In 2023: Girls 133 (deaths 139, children 140, median 121); Boys 106 (deaths 112, children 113, median 94). Overdispersion 3.36, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.83×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Both
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
98
108
112
112
114
by deaths
100
100
109
115
118
117
by children
100
98
111
121
126
126
median country
100
95
102
102
95
101
IQR across countries
100–100
76–114
81–123
75–121
75–122
73–124
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 112 (95% 88–130). In 2023: Both 114 (deaths 117, children 126, median 101). Overdispersion 2.68, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.64×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
103
115
126
135
133
by deaths
100
106
120
131
139
139
by children
100
102
116
131
141
140
median country
100
101
110
116
125
121
IQR across countries
100–100
65–124
68–142
74–138
69–163
56–158
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 138 (95% 99–170). In 2023: Girls 133 (deaths 139, children 140, median 121). Overdispersion 1.86, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.36×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
96
105
107
105
106
by deaths
100
99
107
111
112
112
by children
100
95
107
113
114
113
median country
100
94
102
98
91
94
IQR across countries
100–100
76–109
72–119
71–119
65–118
70–121
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 102 (95% 89–114). In 2023: Boys 106 (deaths 112, children 113, median 94). Overdispersion 3.36, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.83×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2014–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
101
99
93
98
98
95
91
94
105
115
123
121
by deaths
101
103
99
106
104
100
93
98
111
121
129
128
by children
100
97
90
105
103
104
96
99
112
126
136
135
median country
100
96
90
86
89
82
85
86
94
99
107
104
IQR across countries
69–128
65–130
46–113
58–124
58–126
65–127
51–135
55–105
58–121
63–118
59–139
47–135
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
95
91
86
84
82
87
84
81
88
90
88
89
by deaths
97
92
86
86
83
82
79
79
85
88
89
89
by children
92
90
86
86
84
98
97
92
104
109
110
110
median country
96
91
86
79
79
81
77
72
78
75
70
72
IQR across countries
79–110
72–107
71–105
63–104
56–105
65–109
57–115
59–84
55–91
55–91
50–91
54–93
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 126 (95% 90–155); Boys 86 (95% 74–96). In 2023: Girls 121 (deaths 128, children 135, median 104); Boys 89 (deaths 89, children 110, median 72). Overdispersion 4.75, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 2.18×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Both
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
97
92
88
88
87
90
86
84
92
96
96
98
by deaths
98
94
88
89
87
85
82
82
89
94
96
96
by children
96
94
88
95
93
101
97
95
108
117
122
121
median country
97
90
88
80
81
84
80
76
81
81
76
80
IQR across countries
86–114
72–106
71–107
61–102
60–104
68–114
54–117
61–91
64–98
59–96
59–97
58–98
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 96 (95% 76–111). In 2023: Both 98 (deaths 96, children 121, median 80). Overdispersion 3.62, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.90×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
101
99
93
98
98
95
91
94
105
115
123
121
by deaths
101
103
99
106
104
100
93
98
111
121
129
128
by children
100
97
90
105
103
104
96
99
112
126
136
135
median country
100
96
90
86
89
82
85
86
94
99
107
104
IQR across countries
69–128
65–130
46–113
58–124
58–126
65–127
51–135
55–105
58–121
63–118
59–139
47–135
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 126 (95% 90–155). In 2023: Girls 121 (deaths 128, children 135, median 104). Overdispersion 2.33, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.53×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Boys
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
95
91
86
84
82
87
84
81
88
90
88
89
by deaths
97
92
86
86
83
82
79
79
85
88
89
89
by children
92
90
86
86
84
98
97
92
104
109
110
110
median country
96
91
86
79
79
81
77
72
78
75
70
72
IQR across countries
79–110
72–107
71–105
63–104
56–105
65–109
57–115
59–84
55–91
55–91
50–91
54–93
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 86 (95% 74–96). In 2023: Boys 89 (deaths 89, children 110, median 72). Overdispersion 4.75, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 2.18×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 2001–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
91
96
86
78
86
81
67
73
72
67
71
71
69
66
68
76
83
89
88
by deaths
95
90
90
85
75
85
85
72
71
72
69
74
73
70
65
69
78
85
90
90
by children
98
91
95
85
79
86
83
74
71
69
63
74
73
74
68
70
79
89
96
95
median country
106
93
104
88
80
87
77
57
77
74
70
66
68
63
66
67
73
76
82
80
IQR across countries
75–135
70–133
69–123
65–111
43–123
45–118
55–123
46–97
54–99
50–101
36–87
44–96
45–97
50–98
39–104
43–81
45–93
49–91
46–107
37–104
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
98
97
102
101
100
105
109
102
92
88
83
81
80
84
81
78
86
87
85
86
by deaths
97
97
100
100
100
106
113
104
93
88
82
82
80
79
76
75
81
85
85
85
by children
97
96
100
98
99
107
114
103
89
87
83
83
81
95
93
89
100
105
106
106
median country
99
99
106
106
100
103
100
98
94
90
85
78
78
79
76
71
77
74
69
71
IQR across countries
83–115
81–123
82–122
85–129
82–135
72–161
75–153
69–134
78–108
71–105
70–103
62–103
55–103
63–107
56–113
58–82
54–90
54–90
49–89
53–92
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 91 (95% 66–112); Boys 83 (95% 72–93). In 2023: Girls 88 (deaths 90, children 95, median 80); Boys 86 (deaths 85, children 106, median 71). Overdispersion 4.75, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 2.18×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Both
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
97
96
97
97
92
98
102
92
86
82
78
78
77
79
76
74
81
85
85
86
by deaths
97
95
97
96
94
100
106
96
87
84
79
79
77
76
73
73
80
84
86
85
by children
98
93
97
91
88
96
97
88
80
77
73
79
77
84
80
79
89
97
101
100
median country
95
101
97
102
93
99
102
93
90
84
82
75
76
78
74
70
76
75
71
75
IQR across countries
88–113
84–119
81–120
80–123
70–138
65–149
69–137
66–132
80–106
67–99
67–100
57–95
56–97
63–106
50–109
56–85
60–92
55–90
55–91
54–92
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Both 84 (95% 67–98). In 2023: Both 86 (deaths 85, children 100, median 75). Overdispersion 3.62, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.90×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Girls
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
100
91
96
86
78
86
81
67
73
72
67
71
71
69
66
68
76
83
89
88
by deaths
95
90
90
85
75
85
85
72
71
72
69
74
73
70
65
69
78
85
90
90
by children
98
91
95
85
79
86
83
74
71
69
63
74
73
74
68
70
79
89
96
95
median country
106
93
104
88
80
87
77
57
77
74
70
66
68
63
66
67
73
76
82
80
IQR across countries
75–135
70–133
69–123
65–111
43–123
45–118
55–123
46–97
54–99
50–101
36–87
44–96
45–97
50–98
39–104
43–81
45–93
49–91
46–107
37–104
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Girls 91 (95% 66–112). In 2023: Girls 88 (deaths 90, children 95, median 80). Overdispersion 2.33, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 1.53×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
Index tables
Boys
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2023
Tracker
98
97
102
101
100
105
109
102
92
88
83
81
80
84
81
78
86
87
85
86
by deaths
97
97
100
100
100
106
113
104
93
88
82
82
80
79
76
75
81
85
85
85
by children
97
96
100
98
99
107
114
103
89
87
83
83
81
95
93
89
100
105
106
106
median country
99
99
106
106
100
103
100
98
94
90
85
78
78
79
76
71
77
74
69
71
IQR across countries
83–115
81–123
82–122
85–129
82–135
72–161
75–153
69–134
78–108
71–105
70–103
62–103
55–103
63–107
56–113
58–82
54–90
54–90
49–89
53–92
Modelled 2024, drawn dotted: Boys 83 (95% 72–93). In 2023: Boys 86 (deaths 85, children 106, median 71). Overdispersion 4.75, so each component’s Poisson interval is widened 2.18×. Balanced cohort: every country reporting in every year 1985–2023.
No balanced cohort for that combination.
World Trend Tracker
The geometric mean of the three below. None of them is more correct — they answer different questions — so the tracker is the number they agree on.
By deaths
Each country pulls on the line in proportion to how many deaths it contributes. Answers: across everywhere that counts, how has the number of children dying changed? Note: The United States, Mexico and Brazil carry about 44% of it.
By children
Each country pulls in proportion to how many children it has, not how many died. Answers: how has the risk to the average counted child moved? This hands influence to large, lower-rate countries — Türkiye and Brazil gain, the United States loses about a third of its pull.
The dotted 2024
A modelled point, not a counted one. Only 42 countries have published 2024, and they are not a fair sample — over 2014–2023 they reach 114 while the countries that have not yet reported reach 125. So the figure is corrected for that drift, which runs about 0.8% a year, and the interval comes from backtesting the correction against years we can check. The bars are wide because the correction is genuinely uncertain; 2025 is not offered at all, because currently that only includes three countries.
Median country
The middle country, when every country is indexed against its own past and they are lined up. Size is ignored entirely, so Malta counts as much as the United States. Answers: how is a typical country moving? The shaded band is the middle half of countries.
Why the components can be trusted separately. Each country is only ever compared with itself. Its own rate is taken out before anything is added together, so a high-rate country and a low-rate country count the same. It's only the direction of movement that matters. The shaded band shows how sure we can be of the line. Part of it is ordinary counting wobble, because these deaths are rare. The bigger part is that the three ways of weighting countries don't always agree, and the band widens wherever they pull apart.
Pro
Con
Ten year trend2014–2023
No splicing, same countries.
A short window.
This century2001–2023
The 21st century as a whole.
The roster changes once.
The full record1985–2023
The furthest back our records can tolerate.
2 significant roster changes.
Why the cohort is balanced. Within each stretch of years, the same countries run from start to finish. Otherwise a country arriving or leaving looks like a change in children's deaths. I split the line into stretches because demanding every country report right up to today would leave out most of the world.
Where these numbers come from
Every figure here is built from the same counts published on the downloads page — the curated and vetted CSV, the censored list of jurisdictions this site will not compare, and the notes on citing them. Nothing on this page is a source in its own right.
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Researchers’ citation
Please cite this page as:
Black, T. R. (2026). World Trend Tracker: a within-jurisdiction index of pediatric suicide. Retrieved [date], from https://pediatricsuicides.ca/tracker/
Download the data —
every count and denominator on this site, as CSV, with notes.
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